Global warming timeline with emphasis on Australia (thanks
mostly
to Wikipedia
& Robert White)
- 1824 - Joseph
Fourier
describes the greenhouse effect
- 1856 - Eunice
Foote publishes a paper "On
the
Heat in the Sun's Rays" describing the greenhouse effect
with various gases
- 1859 - John
Tyndall demonstrates the effect through experiments with
different gases - duplicating Eunice Foote's work (without
acknowledgment)
- 1896 - Svante
Arrhenius predicts 7 to 11C global warming due to a
hypothetical doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide
- 1901 - Nils
Gustaf Ekholm uses the term "greenhouse effect"
- 1956 - First attempt to use computer modelling for the global
climate by John van Neumann
- 1957 - the first International Geophysical Year. Mauna Loa
Climate Observatory begins monitoring global climate.
- 1962 - Mariner
2
spacecraft takes measurements of Venus that indicate very
high surface temperatures
- 1963 - NOAA established and develops climate models
- 1967 - Thermal
Equilibrium of the Atmosphere with a Given Distribution of
Relative Humidity - paper by Manbe & Wethrald
"According to our estimate, a
doubling of the CO2 content in the atmosphere has the
effect of raising the temperature of the atmosphere (whose
relative humidity is fixed) by about
2C". Voted the
most influential climate science paper of all time.
- 1967 - A
paper by James Pollack and Carl Sagan analyses the
Mariner 2 data and concludes there are high pressures and
temperature at the surface of Venus - later attributed to the
greenhouse effect
- 1965 - President Lyndon Johnson’s Science Advisory
Committee reported rising CO2 in the atmosphere, for which “at
least during the recent past, fossil fuel combustion has been
the only significant source”. The committee’s environmental
pollution panel warned that by 2000 this increase “may be
sufficient to produce measurable and perhaps marked changes in
climate” that “could be deleterious from the point of view of
human beings” (New
Scientist).
- 1969 - A
paper by Andrew Ingersoll explains the "runaway greenhouse
effect" on Venus
- 1969 - Prof
Harry Bloom's address to an Australian Senate enquiry -
“If carbon dioxide built up to such an extent in the Earth’s
atmosphere as to trap radiation from the sun and cause climatic
conditions to change all over the world, perhaps heating the
whole world and melting the ice caps, nothing could be done
about it at that stage,” ... “At this stage, when we
recognise the problem exists we ought to do something about it
before it becomes too late.”
(credit Royce Kurmelovs, The
Guardian)
- 1970 - Dr
Richard Gunn's [Australian] parliamentary address - “It is
the rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide which may be the most
sinister of all effects.
The only way that this can be controlled is by reducing the
amount of combustion taking place.” (credit Royce Kurmelovs, The
Guardian)
- 1975 - Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Lab predicts that a doubling
of CO2 would produce an average global temperature increase of
3C
- 1979 - A
small group of atmospheric and ocean scientists, led by Jule
Charney, met in Woods Hole, Massachusetts, to project the
future impacts on Earth's climate from atmospheric release of
carbon dioxide (CO2) from fossil fuel combustion.
- 1979 - Based on advice from the Woods Hole group, Frank Press,
Science Advisor to Jimmy Carter, reports on a study warning of
risks. The first World Climate Conference was held in this year
and recognised the global significant of the issue.
- 1979 - New Scientist magazine warns
of the risk of global warming.
- ~1980 - James Hansen begins climate research at the NASA
Goddard Institute for Space Studies
- 1980 - the book Cosmos, by Carl Sagan has a
section on global warming
- 1985 - the international Advisory Group on Greenhouse Gases is
formed (predecessor to IPCC)
- 1985 - Carl
Sagan warning Congress about climate change (video)
- 1987 - The Montreal
Protocol bans the production of CFCs, halons and other
ozone-depleting chemicals. Success of a global agreement to take
environmental action - in part, attributed by Carl Sagan to the
chemistry knowledge of Margaret Thatcher
- 1988 - IPCC
is formed
- 1989 - White House Chief of Staff John Sununu uses
"uncertainty:" with climate modelling to stall political action.
- 1990 - Scientific American July
1990 "The Great Climate Debate" by Robert White (tends to
support the "do nothing" approach but a good summary of research
up to that time)
- 1992 - United
Nations
Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) that
commits state parties to reduce greenhouse gas emissions
- 1997 - Kyoto
Proctocol adopted (despite Australian Prime Minister John
Howards
efforts
to undermine the agreement.)
- 1998 - the book Billions
& Billions by Carl Sagan has a chapter on global
warming
- 2000 - Australian Federal Environment Minister Robert Hill
admitted that Australia had helped the United States argue for a
sticking point which helped collapse the world climate change
talks in The Hague. In the same year a Senate committee issues a
report which states that Australia has the highest greenhouse
emissions per capita in the world.
- 2005 - Kyoto Protocol comes into force
- 2007 - Kevin Rudd is elected as Prime Minster of Australia -
although not prominently reported in the papers, one of Mr
Rudd's first commitments in his victory speech was to sign the
Kyoto Protocol
- 2010 - Julia Gillard elected as Prime Minister of Australia
with a minority government. With the support of The Greens she
introduces a "Carbon Tax" that receives international praise
- 2013 - Tony Abbott is elected as Prime Minister of Australia
on the mantra that the carbon tax will be abolished
- 2014 - Tony Abbott seeks alliance to thwart President Obama on
climate change policy
- 2015 - Paris
Agreement adopted - Australia was a party to the
agreement despite Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott being
opposed to action on global warming
- 2016 - Global
sea-level
expert John Church made to walk the plank by CSIRO
- 2017 - Southern
Company
in the USA abandons its attempt to make "clean coal",
switching the Kemper County clean coal plant to natural gas
after spending $7.5 billion.
- 2018 - Prime
Minister
Malcolm Turnbull dumped by right-wing opponents of
emission reduction targets (climate action was a key issue in
the resulting by-election that saw a 20% swing against the
government)
- 2018 - Renewables
overtaking
fossil fuels in new power generation: International Energy
Agency - New wind and solar photovoltaic (PV) generation
accounted for nearly half of all the additional electricity
capacity in 2017...
- 2018 - Greta
Thunberg commences "school strikes for the climate"
- 7 Feb 19 ABC: UN
warns
world on track to breach 3C rise by 2100; last year was fourth
warmest on record.
- 13 May 19: BBC Doco on Youtube: Climate
Change - the Facts - with David Attenborough, Michael
Mann, James Hansen and many other respected scientists "This is
a must watch for everyone who cares about our planet"
- 20 May 19 ABC: Federal Election 2019: What
happened
to the climate change vote we heard about? [Fear &
greed!]
- 28 Sep 19 The Conversation: Highly
touted
UN climate summit failed to deliver - and Scott Morrison
failed to show up + Greta
Thunberg:
You have stolen my childhood with your empty words
- 20 Feb 20 ‘Cosmos:
Possible Worlds’ makers accuse PM Scott Morrison of being
‘woefully dishonest’ on climate change
- 18 Jan 21 The Conversation: Biden’s
Senate majority doesn’t just super-charge US climate action,
it blazes a trail for Australia.
- 11 Feb 21 Amazon: The
New Climate War: the fight to take back our planet - new
book by Michael Mann
- 20 May 22 The Guardian: Australia’s
greenhouse pollution from coal higher per person than any
other developed country, data shows.
- 27 Sep 22 The Conversation: How
to deal with fossil fuel lobbying and its growing influence in
Australian politics.
- Feb 2024 ABC: Veteran
economists say a carbon levy would cut emissions, cut
inflation and raise billions, but see little prospect of
adoption + The Conversation: Ross
Garnaut and Rod Sims have proposed a $100 billion-a-year
fossil fuel tax – and it’s a debate Australia should embrace.
+ National
Press Club address + ABC: Andrew
Forrest slams fossil fuel industry and Coalition for nuclear
energy 'bulldust' + Watch the entire National
Press Club address on iView (registration required,
Australian IP addresses only)
- More to come!
Compiled by Michael Paine. See Greenhouse gases and global warming